Understanding journalism’s complicity in the financial crisis

The nor­mally thor­ough Howard Kurtz has a piece run­ning entitled Press May Own a Share in Fin­an­cial Mess. A fla­vour? Con­tinue read­ing

Robert Peston’s sources

To hear Robert Peston’s account of the fin­an­cial crisis you might won­der where he gets his inform­a­tion. He is a ter­rific reporter and seeker-out-of-scoops. But at what point does a journ­al­ist with really cut-glass sources stop being a journ­al­ist and start being — well — a cypher? Con­tinue read­ing

Great financial reporting

Now if there were more of this in the new News Corp. Wall Street JournalMarc Andreessen has a great annot­ated ver­sion of a let­ter to investors in a col­lapsed hedge fund. It’s so good, I make no apo­logy for run­ning it in full:

…the let­ter Sowood [the hedge fund] wrote to its investors is a par­tic­u­larly clear and lucid account of how these implo­sions hap­pen. It’s almost a text­book descrip­tion of what hap­pens when these things blow up:

Today we made the pain­ful and dif­fi­cult decision to sell sub­stan­tially all the funds’ port­fo­lio [what was left of the port­fo­lio — a little more than 40% of what they star­ted the year with] to Cit­adel Invest­ment Group [another hedge fund].

We took this step to pro­tect your invest­ment [they’re being hon­est in say­ing this; the altern­at­ive would have been worse].

Our actions over the week­end fol­lowed severe declines in the value of our credit pos­i­tions [the mar­ket for many of our hold­ings became par­tic­u­larly illi­quid, due to a lack of buy­ers, and prices dropped dra­mat­ic­ally] and non-performance of off­set­ting hedges [everything went to hell at once].

Given what we were facing and our uncer­tain abil­ity to meet mar­gin calls [we were lever­aged — we used debt to double down on our bets to juice returns, com­mon for this class of hedge funds], we sought other buy­ers for some or all of the pos­i­tions [all our peers on Wall Street smelled “blood in the water” and drove down mar­ket prices even further].

Cit­adel offered the only imme­di­ate and com­pre­hens­ive solu­tion [Cit­adel is prob­ably being bril­liant in buy­ing this port­fo­lio at basic­ally 40-some cents on the dol­lar — but time will tell…].

The trans­ac­tion enabled us to avoid anti­cip­ated forced sales at extreme prices that would have been made in order to sat­isfy oblig­a­tions under our coun­ter­party agree­ments [sure, we were already down more than 50%, but if we had actu­ally sold in the open mar­ket, we maybe would have ended up down 80% or more].

After the trans­ac­tion with Cit­adel, the Net Asset Value (NAV) of Sowood Alpha Fund Ltd. and Sowood Alpha Fund LP will have declined approx­im­ately 57% and 53% month to date respect­ively, and approx­im­ately 56% and 51% cal­en­dar year to date respect­ively. As a res­ult, our NAV as of July 30 is approx­im­ately $1.5 bil­lion. [We just vapor­ized more than $1.5 bil­lion dol­lars of your money.]

We under­stand this is a very dif­fi­cult moment for you [well, OK, that is an understatement]…

We are plan­ning a listen-only con­fer­ence call later this week at which time I will dis­cuss the actions we took over this past week­end and next steps [you can scream at me but I won’t be able to hear you].

[More explan­a­tion follows:]

Dur­ing the month of June, our port­fo­lio exper­i­enced losses mostly as a res­ult of sharply wider cor­por­ate credit spreads [the prices of the debt instru­ments that we held sud­denly fell like a rock] unac­com­pan­ied by any con­com­it­ant move in equit­ies and exacer­bated by a marked decline in liquid­ity [lots of sellers, no buyers].

This occurred over a broad range of credit related instru­ments. In the first two weeks of July, spreads con­tin­ued to widen, and we exper­i­enced a loss sim­ilar to June. The weak­ness in cor­por­ate credit – par­tic­u­larly focused on loans and loan credit default swaps – accel­er­ated sharply dur­ing the week of July 23. Until the end of last week these devel­op­ments, while redu­cing the value of our port­fo­lio, were man­age­able. [Most likely true.] Our coun­ter­parties [the banks that loaned us the money we were using to buy more assets than we actu­ally had invest­ment cap­ital to buy] had not severely marked down the value of the col­lat­eral that the funds had pos­ted nor changed our mar­gin terms, and imme­di­ate liquid­ity needs could be met. [Shorter ver­sion: the banks hadn’t yet called in any of our loans.]

How­ever, towards the end of last week, given the extreme mar­ket volat­il­ity, our coun­ter­parties began to severely mark down the value of the col­lat­eral that had been pos­ted by the funds. [Whoops, the banks just called in the loans.]

In addi­tion, liquid­ity became extremely lim­ited for the credit por­tion of our port­fo­lio mak­ing it dif­fi­cult to exit pos­i­tions [c.f. “blood in the water”].

We are very sorry this has happened. We have always attemp­ted to do the very best for our investors. A loss of this mag­nitude in such a short period is as dev­ast­at­ing to us as it is to you. We are com­mit­ted to act­ing in the best interests of the funds’ investors and to keep­ing investors informed of decisions made in fur­ther­ance of this object­ive. We sin­cerely appre­ci­ate your patience and under­stand­ing dur­ing this chal­len­ging period. [This is about as classy as it gets from someone who just lost you more than 50% of your money in three weeks.]

Great stuff.

Paid content: the Dow Jones bid

The value of fin­an­cial journ­al­ism and high-quality journ­al­ism is that you can charge for it. Rupert Mur­dochHere’s the best take on the Dow Jones bid, writ­ten back in Janu­ary 2007 by David Warsh:

It is the ticker and its his­tory that is the secret of why the On-line WSJ makes so much money on the Web, $80 mil­lion worth of annual sub­scrip­tions, while vir­tu­ally all other news­pa­pers are unable to turn a penny.

The inter­sec­tion of these sev­eral rev­enue streams sup­ports a for­mid­able fixed news­gath­er­ing cost. Dow Jones today dis­tin­guishes between its Con­sumer Media group (The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, the Far East Eco­nomic Review) and its Enter­prise Media Group (the Dow Jones News Wires, the Online WSJ, Factiva retrieval ser­vice and the recently acquired web-based Mar­ket­Watch), but the fact is that many of its two thou­sand or so news pro­fes­sion­als serve the print paper, the online paper and the news­wire (600 journ­al­ists on the print paper alone).

The news­wire moves up to 12,000 items a day, cov­er­ing all asset classes; based on report­ing from nearly 90 bur­eaus around the world.

This is all about paid con­tent. So when USA Today asks if

folks on Wall Street are…ready to trust get­ting their fin­an­cial news from the media mogul who has given us Homer Simpson, Simon Cow­ell, Bill O’Reilly and the New York Post’s fam­ous Page Six gos­sip franchise?”

You have to ask: ‘How dumb do you think your read­ers are to write that as an intro?’ Too dumb to pay for con­tent, that’s for sure.

What’s that coming over the hill…

Fresh reports of the com­ing of a Fox News busi­ness chan­nel. Of course, Rupert Mur­doch has been prom­ising to get one off the blocks since 2004, but now he’s so ser­i­ous he’s even crack­ing jokes:

…we have to recruit some money honeys,” chuckled Mur­doch, refer­ring to the now-trademarked nick­name of CNBC anchor Maria Bartir­omo.

Slate’s Daniel Gross summed up the fin­an­cial news cable mar­ket like this back in 2005, and not much has changed:

Fox News cre­ator Roger Ailes ran CNBC in its salad days, and he under­stands the eco­nom­ics of the busi­ness. Yes, CNNfn’s demise sug­gests that there isn’t enough room for another fin­an­cial net­work. But it could just be that the fail­ure of CNNfn was a symp­tom of CNN’s gen­eral malaise.

It’s an open ques­tion if Ailes can rep­lic­ate his Fox News suc­cess in busi­ness news. Fox News Chan­nel suc­ceeded because it eas­ily and smartly defined itself in oppos­i­tion to what its core audi­ence per­ceived to be bias on the part of the other net­works. But nobody regards CNBC and Bloomberg TV the way Fox view­ers regarded CNN and MSNBC.

Cur­rently Fox News busi­ness means Neil Cavuto who hosts “Your World w/.” The remainder of Fox’s busi­ness shows are shoe-horned into a two-hour Sat­urday morn­ing block, tagged The Cost of Freedom.

The tone? Accord­ing to Busi­ness Week:

…he impli­citly whacked the edit­or­ial tilt at Gen­eral Electric’s CNBC as some­how ant­ag­on­istic to busi­ness, a con­clu­sion almost any observer of the chan­nel will find dif­fi­cult to sup­port, by prom­ising a Fox chan­nel would be “more business-friendly than CNBC.” That chan­nel “leap[s] on every scan­dal, or what they think is a scan­dal,” he said.

Mr Mur­doch also aired some regrets over the WSJ:

As for another favor­ite Mur­doch tar­get, The Wall Street Journal and par­ent com­pany Dow Jones, Mur­doch, per­haps for the first time, dis­avowed interest in the busi­ness daily, grim­acing briefly before con­ced­ing, “I must say I am cool­ing on it.”

[On] The move by the Journal to place more news on the Web as it has shrunk the dimen­sions of the phys­ical product, he said, “takes all the excite­ment out of read­ing it.” In any event, though, he said, “I don’t think I will get it, and I don’t think they will sell it.”

The oppor­tun­ity for the Journal, he said, was to com­pete much harder with The New York Times in areas of national and global news.

So what does all this mean in the UK? Well, it is inter­est­ing to note that the Fin­an­cial Times could be com­ing up for sale. Com­pet­i­tion issues might pre­vent a Mur­doch pur­chase, but that doesn’t stop The Busi­ness day dream­ing about the pos­sib­il­ity in a piece look­ing ahead to Xmas 2007:

Else­where, one of the half-dozen private equity con­sor­tia to lose out in the bid­ding auc­tion for J Sains­bury has con­soled itself with a break-up bid for Pear­son, the books-to-newspapers group. Their first action (after sack­ing Dame Mar­jorie Scardino as chief exec­ut­ive) was to sell the Fin­an­cial Times to Rupert Mur­doch for £650m, using the pro­ceeds to pay down debt.

The pink pages will have to go…

Financial journalism

Accord­ing to Har­vard Busi­ness School pro­fessor Greg Miller, fin­an­cial journ­al­ists uncover nearly a third of major account­ing scan­dals. He presents this as pos­it­ive evid­ence of the busi­ness media’s ‘watch­dog’ role. In the course of an inter­view with Harvard’s Work­ing Know­ledge he also passes on this nug­get:

There’s always going to be someone in the press look­ing to put out neg­at­ive spin.

Neg­at­ive spin, eh? Like ‘Busi­ness journ­al­ism fails to uncover 70% of major fin­an­cial scandals.’

You can read his whole paper here, and cyn­icism aside, it’s actu­ally quite interesting.