Off topic: Voting on TV — a basic problem

Chan­nel 4’s Grand Designs Live, is built around ask­ing view­ers to vote on three prop­er­ties. Here is the prob­lem: the first prop­erty fea­tured has a massive advant­age over the last prop­erty in terms of motiv­at­ing people to vote.

[Updated] Two three four nights out of three four five, the first prop­erty fea­tured has won…

Can Chan­nel 4 not come up with a less obvi­ously flawed method?

Ofcom report card…

So you don’t have to, Ofcom­watch has been keep­ing tabs on the UK media reg­u­lator for five years now. Here are the les­sons these tor­tured souls have gathered (the last one is my favour­ite):

  1. UK media reg­u­la­tion and policy is almost exclus­ively a Labour affair…the key people, the key themes, and the key policies are Labour-dominated.
  2. Ofcom have gen­er­ally improved the qual­ity of media and com­mu­nic­a­tions reg­u­la­tion in the UK
  3. Reg­u­lat­ory con­ver­gence in the media and com­mu­nic­a­tions sec­tor is being some­what under­mined by the BBC Trust, the Byron Review…
  4. Only a few Ofcom decisions have big, real-world impact…Much of Ofcom’s other work con­sists of mundane admin­is­tra­tion (num­ber­ing), abso­lutely point­less decision-making (broad­cast com­plaints), or stra­tegic think­ing that is some­times quite insight­ful or some­times just really ter­rible (New News, Future Snooze).
  5. Des­pite the long-awaited arrival of the golden age of media abund­ance, old ways of doing things remain highly res­ist­ant to change.
  6. [O]n a global scale there seems to be no cor­rel­a­tion between the qual­ity of the reg­u­lat­ory and policy envir­on­ment and actual eco­nomic and social outcomes.

Writing about TV — the pre-download era

Tele­v­i­sion com­mis­sion­ing. How hard can it be? Roll up, buy a series, put it on TV. That was before you could down­load the stuff.

Writ­ing about TV is more dif­fi­cult. But here is Will Hut­ton con­jur­ing up the pre-download era:

Every Brit­ish tele­vi­sion exec­ut­ive would love to have com­mis­sioned the Amer­ican series Mad Men. With com­pel­ling accur­acy, it trans­ports you back to the advert­ising world of Man­hat­tan in the 1960s.

The second epis­ode is on BBC4 tonight. It hits every sweet spot — recept­ive audi­ences, buzz and crit­ical acclaim. And des­pite being deeply Amer­ican, it will enrich our cul­ture, too.

Will thinks this is pub­lic ser­vice broad­cast­ing. Say Will — what if they let you down­load the show on the inter­Web? D’ya think?

I know…

Learning about the future of media from your kids

Fred Wilson, affable tech ven­ture cap­it­al­ist and A-list blog­ger gives an anec­dotal insight into media pro­spects based on the tastes of his kids (one of whom blogs too). I try, but it’s hard not to like Wilson. Here are his obser­va­tions:

    1) When they walk into a DVD store, they rarely walk out with a movie. It’s almost always the first sea­son of a TV show they’ve heard is good. They’ll go see a movie in the theatre but don’t really enjoy watch­ing movies at home or on their computers.

    They feel that TV shows are bet­ter writ­ten and more inter­est­ing. And the enter­tain­ment value is cer­tainly more com­pel­ling. For roughly US$40, they got some­thing like 25 epis­odes of Broth­ers and Sis­ters. That’s almost 17 hours of entertainment…

    It makes me won­der where this is headed. I don’t know enough about the eco­nom­ics of TV shows versus fims, but it may be that digital tech­no­logy is chan­ging the way the younger gen­er­a­tion will con­sume filmed enter­tain­ment in some import­ant ways. Some­thing to think about. And maybe why the writers are striking.

    2) They will play games whenever given the oppor­tun­ity … It doesn’t mat­ter what game it is and what device it’s on.

    3) When we were without broad­band inter­net for three days in the Bar­rier Reef, they were a little antsy but were able to stay on top of Face­book mes­sages via my Black­Berry. When we got back to a broad­band inter­net con­nec­tion, they spent the after­noon hap­pily enter­tained by the Inter­net for hours. Emily had a huge smile on her face so I asked her what she’d do without the Inter­net. She said, “Dad, the Inter­net is my primary form of entertainment”…

    4) The only time they listen to radio is when we have it on in the car for short rides. If it’s a long ride, we almost always plug in the iPod and they’ll take turns DJ’ing … they find all of their music on the Inter­net via myspace, last.fm, hype machine, mp3 blogs, and social net­work­ing with their friends…

    5) They still read books the way we did as kids. That doesn’t seem to have changed a bit…

    6) They love magazines and read all the fash­ion, cook­ing, and gos­sip magazines they can get their hands on…

    7) They don’t seem par­tic­u­larly inter­ested in news­pa­pers. They get most of their news on the Inter­net. Josh will read the sports pages over break­fast and the girls will glance at the front page. Import­ant cur­rent events and polit­ics will some­times gen­er­ate enough interest that they’ll read the front page por­tion of a story and then launch into a dis­cus­sion over break­fast. But I don’t see a com­mit­ment to news­pa­pers like we have in my gen­er­a­tion and my par­ents generation.

So what does that tell me…

  • Video games and Inter­net should be enjoy­ing the highest mul­tiples but there’s no sur­prise there. the mar­ket has that figured out.
  • News­pa­pers and radio should be suf­fer­ing from the low­est mul­tiples and again the mar­ket has that figured out.
  • There are sec­tors of the enter­tain­ment busi­ness that are bet­ter than oth­ers. If my kids are a good sample…then TV is a bet­ter cat­egory to be in than films.
  • The music busi­ness is still a good busi­ness, kids are still listen­ing to music the way we did. They are find­ing it dif­fer­ently and pay­ing for it dif­fer­ently, but they still con­sume it as pas­sion­ately as we did … those who fig­ure out the new model in music are going to do well. It won’t be the major labels though.
  • Mass mar­ket magazines might be undervalued…
  • Books may be the one cat­egory of media and enter­tain­ment that aren’t dis­rup­ted by digital tech­no­logy. or maybe we just haven’t seen the tech­no­logy that will do it…but at least in my fam­ily, books are still a growth sector.

Of course, my sample of three kids who live together, were raised by the same par­ents, and have access to most of what they want may not be and prob­ably isn’t representative…